Before Mar 1, 2027
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 2 Nov, 23:33 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Canva publicly confirms an initial public offering before March 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that confirmation does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about staff cuts for the resolution event, but only a confirmed IPO counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%