Before February 2027
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$21
Total volume$65k
Liquidity$65k
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Apple Inc. makes the iPhone 18 available to the general public before February 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this release does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake preorder availability for a full public release.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%