Category 3 or above
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves2 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 14:32 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Sept, 09:04 UTC | 98% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Hurricane Odalys reaches maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. It resolves to No if the storm never hits that wind speed threshold. Readers often mistake the linked headline's current wind speed for the final resolution, but only the official maximum sustained wind measurement determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%