5
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves8 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if exactly five people serve as UK Prime Minister between now and January 1, 2029, excluding Keir Starmer. It resolves to No if that number is not five. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the current government term rather than the fixed date of January 1, 2029.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%