Above 29 million
The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$25k
Resolved4 Mar 2027
Why it moved: −4 points at 17:23 UTC, after The Block: Robinhood earnings miss, crypto weakness fail to shake Wall Street’s bullish outlook — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 5% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%