Above $16 billion
The market favoured Yes at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$947
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved4 Mar 2027
Why it moved: +6 points at 17:23 UTC, after The Block: Robinhood earnings miss, crypto weakness fail to shake Wall Street’s bullish outlook — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 96% |
| 26 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 90% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%