Labour Party
Implied probability 96%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 86% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Labour Party wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election. The outcome is No if they do not win. Readers often mistake this for a general election result rather than a specific by-election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%