Above 100
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the number of Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads in October 2026 exceeds 100. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the download period or confuse the app name with other versions.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%