Above 5
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 13:37 UTC | 32% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if more than five states have gubernatorial and Senate winners from different political parties. It resolves to No if six or fewer states meet this condition. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date the results are officially certified.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%