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Jordan Firstman

Implied probability 10%+9
24-hour volume$44
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves10 Jan 2028

Why it moved: +9 points at 17:41 UTC, after The Hollywood Reporter: Golden Globes: ‘Club Kid’ Submitted as Drama (Exclusive) — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Jordan Firstman
0%50%100%10%1 Nov, 16:55 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now10%
2 Nov, 17:41 UTC10%
1 Nov, 16:55 UTC1%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Jordan Firstman wins the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story headline for the resolution condition, but only an actual award win counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 10%
  • No 90%

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