Jaafar Jackson
Why it moved: −50 points at 20:58 UTC, after Variety: ‘Michael’: Golden Globes Reject Submission to Compete in Comedy/Musical Categories — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 7% |
| 19 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jaafar Jackson appears on the official nominee list for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. It resolves to No if he does not appear on that specific list. Readers often mistake the rejection of the film submission as the deciding factor, but only Jackson's nomination status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%