Susan Collins, 0-2%
Why it moved: +6 points at 19:29 UTC, after The Hill: Collins's Maine office vandalized on eve of election — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 21:03 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Susan Collins wins the 2026 Maine Senate election by a margin between 0% and 2%. The outcome is No if her victory margin falls outside that range or if she loses. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the official certification of results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%