Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%
Implied probability 2%−18
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$29k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Gina Hinojosa wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by a margin between 0% and 2%. It resolves to No if her victory margin is outside this range or if she loses. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the resolution period.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%