Above 3.5%
Implied probability 34%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$53k
Liquidity$53k
Resolves28 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that real GDP growth exceeds 3.5%. It resolves to No if the reported growth is 3.5% or lower. Readers often mistake the linked headline figure of 3.4% as the final number, but the resolution depends on the official BEA estimate, which may differ from preliminary reports.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%