$20/MTok or below
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$23k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 21:32 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 token price drops to $20 or less on its official pricing page in 2026. It resolves to No if the price stays above that threshold during that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about GPT-6.1 for the relevant model, but only GPT-5.5 counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%