Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Implied probability 9%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves18 Apr 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in first place in the first round of the next French presidential election based on certified results. It resolves to No if he does not finish first. Readers often mistakenly believe that leading in polls or winning the second round counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%