Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Implied probability 12%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$115k
Liquidity$115k
Resolves30 May 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 7 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Nov, 17:10 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Nov, 16:50 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Nov, 14:41 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins the next French presidential election. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake who counts as the winner or when the election ends.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%