Democratic sweep
Implied probability 92%−3
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$52k
Liquidity$52k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 98% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 10:24 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 01:06 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 00:51 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 23:32 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 23:11 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 21:18 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 84% |
| 3 Nov, 14:51 UTC | 39% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Democrats win the upcoming elections for the Class II Senate seats in Texas, Alaska, and Iowa, as well as the Class III Senate seat in Ohio that begins in 2027. It resolves to No if any of these four specific seats goes to a non-Democratic candidate.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 92%
- No 8%