Texas, Iowa, Ohio
Why it moved: −4 points at 19:35 UTC, after All Content from Business Insider: These big companies moved to red Texas. Now the state's gone blue. — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Democrats win the Texas Class II Senate seat while Alaska remains non-Democratic, and they also secure the Iowa Class II and Ohio Class III Senate seats for the term starting in 2027. The outcome is No if any of these specific conditions are not met.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%