Above 6.00%
Implied probability 67%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves30 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 4 Oct, 11:08 UTC | 67% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage in Freddie Mac’s final PMMS release published during 2027 exceeds 6.00%. It resolves to No if that specific reported rate is 6.00% or lower. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any rate above 6% at any time counts, but only the final 2027 report matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%