Yes
The market favoured No at 70% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 98%
24-hour volume$62k
Total volume$167k
Liquidity$167k
Resolved3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 21:29 UTC | 29% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Florida Amendment 3 passes. The outcome is No if it fails. Readers often mistake the election night results for the final resolution instead of waiting for official certification.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%