Alaska
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Democrats lose every specified Senate race except Alaska's, where a Democrat must win. It resolves to No if any other combination of results occurs. Readers often mistake the requirement for Democratic wins in the other states as a condition for Yes, when those races actually require non-Democrat winners.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%