Ferrari
Implied probability 25%+5
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves9 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 20:00 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 20% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
A Ferrari driver must finish first in the main race of the 2026 Mexico Grand Prix for the market to resolve to Yes. Any other result leads to a No resolution. Readers often mistake practice session results, like Leclerc's fastest lap, as counting toward the final outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 25%
- No 75%