Lando Norris
Implied probability 40%
24-hour volume$582
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 42% |
| 9 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 43% |
| 9 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 44% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 45% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 43% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 45% |
| 8 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 42% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 40% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lando Norris finishes in the top three of the main race at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix on October 11, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not finish in the top three or if the race does not take place as scheduled. Readers often mistake the qualifying results for the final standing.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 60%