Max Verstappen
Implied probability 48%
24-hour volume$16k
Total volume$41k
Liquidity$41k
Resolves2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 49% |
| 23 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Oct, 23:13 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Max Verstappen finishes first in the main race of the 2026 United States Grand Prix on October 25, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not finish first. Readers often mistake practice results for the final race outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%