Immigration
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves6 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if immigration is the top voter concern in the 2026 US House exit polls. It resolves to No if any other issue ranks higher. Readers often mistake the linked story about early voting for the actual resolution criteria, but only the exit poll data matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%