Poland
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Poland officially votes to leave the European Union before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if this vote does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake political rhetoric or proposals for an actual binding vote.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%