2,250 to 2,499.99
Implied probability 15%−1
24-hour volume$737
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$1.2M
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Oct, 19:45 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the simple average of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI price during the sixty seconds before 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027, falls between $2,250.00 and $2,499.99. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the news event date or confuse the specific data source with general market prices.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%