Before 2027
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$341
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$29k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 3 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if The Elder Scrolls VI releases on any console before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if the game does not launch by that date. Readers often mistake the announcement of the title for the actual release.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%