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Bill Clinton

Implied probability 49%+5
24-hour volume$53
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +8 points at 15:24 UTC, after The Guardian: British billionaire warned Epstein was a ‘sexual deviant’ decades before FBI closed in on the abuser — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Bill Clinton
0%50%100%49%6 Oct, 15:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now49%
8 Oct, 05:03 UTC49%
7 Oct, 22:51 UTC48%
7 Oct, 15:24 UTC49%
6 Oct, 15:09 UTC41%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Bill Clinton appears in any context within documents held by the federal government that are directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein and released before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if these specific conditions are not met. Readers often mistake this for a resolution based on general media reports or allegations rather than official government documents.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 49%
  • No 51%

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