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Manchester United

Implied probability 13%+9
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves21 Jun 2027

Why it moved: +9 points at 12:39 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Manchester United crisis: What are the top five problems facing the club? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Manchester United
0%50%100%13%25 Oct, 11:33 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
26 Oct, 12:39 UTC13%
25 Oct, 11:33 UTC4%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Manchester United finishes at the bottom of the English Premier League table and is relegated during the 2026-27 season. The outcome is No if they avoid relegation in that specific season. Readers often mistake the current news headline for the final resolution, but only the official end-of-season league standings determine the result.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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