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Arsenal

Implied probability 84%+3
24-hour volume$645
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves9 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +3 points at 16:49 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Ouattara rescues point for Brentford as Hull maintain unbeaten home record — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Arsenal
0%50%100%84%24 Oct, 16:11 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now84%
25 Oct, 16:49 UTC84%
24 Oct, 16:11 UTC81%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the match against Hull City after 90 minutes and stoppage time. It resolves to No if Arsenal does not win within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly count extra time or penalty shootouts toward the result.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 84%
  • No 16%

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