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Chelsea

Implied probability 38%−5
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves30 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −5 points at 22:58 UTC, after BBC Sport: Should Palmer have been sent off earlier than he was? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Chelsea
0%50%100%38%23 Oct, 22:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now38%
24 Oct, 22:58 UTC38%
23 Oct, 22:43 UTC43%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Chelsea wins the EFL Cup match against Liverpool within the standard 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. The outcome is determined solely by the score at the end of regular time, ignoring any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 38%
  • No 62%

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