NewsMarkets

Markets

United States

Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$967
Total volume$86k
Liquidity$86k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if an official report confirms a human case of Ebola disease in the United States between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such confirmed case is officially reported by that date. Readers often mistake this market for tracking plague outbreaks or deaths at foreign labs rather than confirmed domestic cases of Ebola.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 7%
  • No 93%

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