Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis
Final probability 97%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved11 Nov 2026
Why it moved: +50 points at 21:49 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Sprouts Slashes Outlook After Cyclospora Outbreak Hit Sales — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 28 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Oct, 22:04 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 49% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Sprouts Farmers Market representative mentions Cyclospora or Cyclosporiasis during their next earnings call, including the question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if they do not mention it. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the resolution trigger, but only spoken words on the specific earnings call count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%