Google (3+ times)
The market favoured No at 70% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Why it moved: +68 points at 14:31 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Intel Plummets, Reddit Sinks | Stock Movers — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 30 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 30% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Reddit representative says "Google" three or more times during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q&A session. It resolves to No if that specific condition is not met within that event. Readers often mistake the linked Intel news story for the trigger, but only words spoken by Reddit officials on their call count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%