Security
The market favoured Yes at 86% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$681
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved31 Mar 2027
Why it moved: +12 points at 21:34 UTC, after News Feed: FirstFT: Intel stock drops 16% as it forecasts weaker chip sales — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 81% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an Intel representative mentions security during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the call rather than the specific moment the word is spoken.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%