Kalshi
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved25 Jan 2027
Why it moved: −28 points at 12:43 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Kalshi CEO Eyes Guardrails After Studies Detail Customer Losses — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 29% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%