F-47
The market favoured No at 64% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved25 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 29% |
| 26 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 42% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Boeing representative says F-47 during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q&A session. The market resolves to No if this specific phrase is not uttered by a company representative in that setting. Readers often mistake any mention of the aircraft model in press releases or news reports for a resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%