GLP-1
The market favoured Yes at 64% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 4%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolved31 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 13:02 UTC | 62% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an Albertsons representative mentions GLP-1 during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if the term does not appear in that specific event. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming any mention of GLP-1 by Albertsons counts rather than only what happens on the next scheduled earnings call.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%