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Fold / Folding / Foldable

Implied probability 83%+4
24-hour volume$115
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves12 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +4 points at 21:40 UTC, after Inc.: Apple’s $2,000 iPhone Duo Is Cracking. The Company’s Response Gets 1 Thing Right — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Fold / Folding / Foldable
0%50%100%83%21 Oct, 17:50 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now83%
27 Oct, 21:40 UTC83%
26 Oct, 13:23 UTC79%
26 Oct, 07:37 UTC86%
26 Oct, 03:20 UTC79%
25 Oct, 05:51 UTC86%
25 Oct, 04:36 UTC92%
23 Oct, 20:42 UTC76%
22 Oct, 20:20 UTC76%
22 Oct, 13:56 UTC79%
22 Oct, 02:12 UTC87%
21 Oct, 17:50 UTC92%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if any Apple representative mentions Fold, Folding, or Foldable during the upcoming earnings call and Q&A session. The outcome is No if these terms are not mentioned by an Apple representative in that specific setting. Readers often mistake general rumors or reports from other sources for official statements made during the call.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 83%
  • No 17%

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