56
Implied probability 92%+4
24-hour volume$153k
Total volume$1.3M
Liquidity$1.3M
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 91% |
| 6 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 11:03 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 06:11 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 12:40 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 27% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 16:07 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 06:36 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic party holds exactly 56 Senate seats on February 1, 2027. It resolves to No for any other seat count on that date. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the election day or assume the current news headline determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 92%
- No 8%