54
Implied probability 1%−17
24-hour volume$464k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$1.1M
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 12:40 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 12:34 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 19:45 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 16:07 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 10% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Democrats hold exactly 54 Senate seats on February 1, 2027. It resolves to No for any other seat count on that date. Readers often mistake the election day results for the final count, but only the official composition of the Senate on the specific resolution date matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%