Below 45
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$259k
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$1.7M
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 18:37 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 11:39 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Democrats hold fewer than 45 Senate seats on February 1, 2027. It resolves to No if they hold 45 or more seats on that date. Readers often mistake the election day results for the resolution date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%