Above 3.6 million
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 95%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved6 Mar 2027
Why it moved: +3 points at 20:17 UTC, after Quartz: DraftKings stock sinks more than 26% as prediction markets bet hammers profit outlook — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 20:17 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 92% |
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%