Above 9.5%
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$11
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolved6 Mar 2027
Why it moved: −5 points at 20:17 UTC, after Quartz: DraftKings stock sinks more than 26% as prediction markets bet hammers profit outlook — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 20:17 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 6% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%