Above 9%
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved6 Mar 2027
Why it moved: −11 points at 10:49 UTC, after News Feed: DraftKings slashes earnings guidance as it bets on new prediction market business — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 12% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%