New Hampshire
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 88% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if New Hampshire hosts the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential primary among the 50 states after the issuance date and before April 1, 2028. It resolves to No if this specific condition does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about student IDs for the relevant event, but only the scheduling of the primary contest determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 87%
- No 13%