NewsMarkets

Markets

Above 5140

Implied probability 44%−15
24-hour volume$200
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves27 May 2027

Why it moved: −15 points at 18:57 UTC, after Quartz: Datadog stock drops despite earnings beat as a top AI customer cuts usage — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Above 5140
0%50%100%44%3 Nov, 18:15 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now44%
4 Nov, 18:57 UTC44%
3 Nov, 18:15 UTC59%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Datadog reports having more than 5,140 customers with annual recurring revenue over $100,000 in fiscal year 2026. It resolves to No if the company does not meet this specific customer count threshold during that period. Readers often mistake the deadline for a standard quarterly report date instead of the end of fiscal year 2026.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 44%
  • No 56%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market