Above 4940
The market favoured No at 74% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 6%
24-hour volume$40
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved6 Mar 2027
Why it moved: −20 points at 18:57 UTC, after Quartz: Datadog stock drops despite earnings beat as a top AI customer cuts usage — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 13:36 UTC | 26% |
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%